Covid-19 worldwide forecasts for the year 2021

Predicción del COVID-19 a nivel mundial para el año 2021

Introduction: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the virus that causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has spread rapidly around the world since it emerged in Wuhan, China in late 2019. Objective: to describe COVID-19 worldwide forecasts of infections and deaths over the year 2021. Methodology: the method used to calculate the prediction was the Holt model. Data was analyzed with the SPSS version 25.0 statistical package. Results: according to the COVID-19 global projection for the year 2021, there will be an estimated 96’878.746 cases by the end of January 2021 and 283’662.031 by the end of December 2021. Conclusion: the HOLT model illustrates a possible scenario of the disease in terms of people infected and killed in year 2021, which in light of the results is not at all flattering for the world, so isolation measures need to continue in order to achieve stabilization of the disease.

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